The Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be just as busy this year, but not as destructive as the record-breaking season in 2017, researchers said Thursday.
The team believes three hurricanes will be strong enough to become major hurricanes - Category 3 and above - and there is a 63 percent chance a major hurricane will hit the U.S. East Coast.
Colorado State Researchers are predicting above average activity for the upcoming hurricane season, but nothing like the historic 2017 season that devastated the gulf. A typical season sees 12 named storms, 6.5 hurricanes and two majors.
Researchers at Colorado State said they plan to give updates on their forecast on May 31, July 2 and August 2.
The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
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As authors Philip J. Klotzbach and Michael M. Bell seek to hit home each year for those living near the coast, "It only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them".
Three to five of those storms are expected to be major hurricanes.
The researchers point to La Nina, a global climate phenomenon which forecasters think could fade away over the next few months. Warm Pacific waters, known as El Nino, create high-altitude winds over the Atlantic Ocean, which rip apart storms before they can coalesce into cyclones.
The team forms their forecasts by using 60 years of data, referencing sea surface temperatures, vertical wind shear levels, sea level pressures, El Niño conditions and other factors.
The next CSU seasonal forecast will be issued on May 31, and the report noted that its forecast accuracy increases as the peak of the season approaches in September.
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